北京邮电大学学报

  • EI核心期刊

北京邮电大学学报 ›› 2018, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (4): 81-85.doi: 10.13190/j.jbupt.2017-230

• 研究报告 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于Bootstrap-SVR-SOC的小子样结构机构可靠性分析方法

马宇鹏, 张建国, 邱继伟   

  1. 北京航空航天大学 可靠性与系统工程学院, 北京 100191
  • 收稿日期:2017-11-16 出版日期:2018-08-28 发布日期:2018-10-09
  • 作者简介:马宇鹏(1988-),男,博士生,E-mail:mayp14@buaa.edu.cn;张建国(1966-),男,教授,博士生导师.
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)项目(2013CB733002);国家自然科学基金项目(51675026)

Reliability Analyzing Method of Small Sample Structures and Mechanisms Based on Bootstrap-SVR-SOC

MA Yu-peng, ZHANG Jian-guo, QIU Ji-wei   

  1. School of Reliability and System Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, China
  • Received:2017-11-16 Online:2018-08-28 Published:2018-10-09

摘要: 针对实际工程中小子样结构机构可靠性分析的问题,提出了Bootstrap—支持向量回归(SVR)—二阶累计量(SOC)方法框架和多阶矩虚拟样本容量扩充方法,增强了扩充后样本的客观性;将Bootstrap与SVR方法结合,构建出结构机构可靠性极限状态函数,并利用SOC方法计算可靠度指标.最后,应用摆动导杆机构的仿真算例验证了新方法的有效性.

关键词: 样本增广, 结构机构可靠性, 小子样, Bootstrap, 支持向量机回归, 二阶累积量方法

Abstract: In order to solve the small sample reliability problems for structures and mechanisms in real applications,an analyzing framework named Bootstrap-support vector regression-second order cumulant (Bootstrap-SVR-SOC) method together with a sample size extension method combining multi-order moments that could make the extended samples more objective were proposed. Bootstrap was combined with support vector regression method in order to build the limit state function for reliability analysis based on the second order cumulant approach. Finally, numerical case of a crank shaper mechanism was analyzed to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed framework.

Key words: sample extension, structural and mechanism reliability, small sample, bootstrap, support vector regression, second order cumulant

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