北京邮电大学学报

  • EI核心期刊

北京邮电大学学报 ›› 2008, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (5): 44-47.doi: 10.13190/jbupt.200805.44.zhangjg

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

软件项目进度估计结果有效性验证方法研究

张俊光   

  1. 北京科技大学 经济管理学院,北京 100083
  • 收稿日期:2008-02-19 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2008-10-30 发布日期:2008-10-30
  • 通讯作者: 张俊光

A Method for Result Validity Verifying of Software Project Schedule Estimation

ZHANG Jun-guang   

  1. School of Economics and Management, University of Science and Technology Beijing,Beijing 100083,China
  • Received:2008-02-19 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2008-10-30 Published:2008-10-30
  • Contact: ZHANG Jun-guang

摘要:

为保证软件项目进度估计结果的有效性,提高项目成功率,研究了一种定量的、系统的软件项目进度验证方法. 该方法结合大量的实际项目数据,通过建模,构筑了一种进度验证指南;通过显著性检验,发现回归效果不显著,说明该指南只能用来进行进度验证,而不能进行进度安排;通过实际案例,对进度验证指南的使用进行探讨. 另外,除了对单个项目的估计结果进行有效性验证外,还以组织历史数据的收集和分析为基础,通过构建模型对组织整体进度估计方法的有效性进行了研究. 实际应用数据表明该模型能够有效的保证和提高进度估计结果和方法的有效性,并实现持续改进.

关键词: 软件项目, 进度估计, 有效性, 验证指南

Abstract:

To ensure the validity of software project schedule estimation and improve the success rate of software projects, combined with some actual project cases, a quantitative and systemic method of software project schedule validation was studied. A schedule verifying guide was established by modeling. The regression result was found not obvious by validation. It indicates that this guide could only be used to verify, but not used to arrange the schedule. The usage of the schedule verifying guide was studied combined with some actual project cases. In addition to the validity validation of single project, the whole schedule estimation method validity of the organization was studied by modeling based on the collection and statistics of historical data. The actual data indicates that the model can improve and ensure the validity of the schedule estimation result and the estimation method, and can obtain continuous improvements.

Key words: software project, schedule estimation, validity, verifying guide

中图分类号: