Journal of Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications

  • EI核心期刊

Journal of Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications ›› 2021, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (3): 47-52.doi: 10.13190/j.jbupt.2020-187

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An Short-Term Residential Load Forecasting Scheme Using Multi-Task Learning

WANG Yu-feng1, XIAO Can-bin1, CHEN Yan2, JIN Qun3   

  1. 1. College of Telecommunications and Information Engineering, Nanjing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Nanjing 210003, China;
    2. State Energy Group Jiangsu Electric Power Company Limited, Nanjing 210004, China;
    3. Faculty of Human Sciences, Waseda University, Saitama 359-1192, Japan
  • Received:2020-10-05 Online:2021-06-28 Published:2021-06-23

Abstract: In smart grid regarded as specific embodying of cyber-physical-social system, load forecasting, especially short-term load forecasting for individual electric customers plays an increasingly role in planning and operation of smart power system. Considering the similarity of electricity consumption between users, inspired by multi-task learning, the article puts forward an effective residential load forecasting based on multi-task learning model. In detail, the K-means clustering technology and Pearson correlation coefficient are used to select two similar users. Then these two user's load data are merged as input, the bidirectional long short-term memory network is used as a sharing layer to fully capture the relationship between the data of the two users, and then two fully-connection task-specific output layers are respectively built. Based on real datasets, the proposed scheme is thoroughly compared with several typical deep learning based load forecasting schemes. Experiments show that proposed multi-task learning scheme improves the prediction accuracy compared with the existing deep learning prediction scheme.

Key words: load forecasting, multi-task learning, bidirectional long short-term memory, cyber-physical-social system, smart grid

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